Climate Bulletin for Sri Lanka ( 24 October 2019)

                                                      Highlights                                

·    The NOAA weekly rainfall forecast predicts up to 200 mm of total rainfall in Jaffna district during 23 – 28 Oct.

·    Between 16 – 22 Oct: up to 140 mm of daily rainfall was recorded in Kilinochchi district on the 22nd.

·    From 15 – 21 Oct: up to 5 km/h, southeasterly winds were experienced by the entire island

·    0.5 0C above-average sea surface temperature was observed in the seas around Sri Lanka.

Download full report ↓

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Monitoring

Rainfall

Weekly Monitoring:

Date	Rainfall
16th October	Up to 70 mm in Mullaitivu and Vavuniya districts; up to 60 mm in Mannar and Anuradhapura districts; up to 50 mm in Trincomalee, Puttalam, Kurunegala, Matale, Kandy and Badulla districts; up to 30 mm in Kilinochchi, Polonnaruwa, Ampara and Ratnapura districts; and up to 20 mm in Jaffna, Batticaloa, Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara, Galle, Matara, Hambantota, Nuwara Eliya and Monaragala districts.
17th October	Up to 50 mm in Mannar, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Puttalam, Kurunegala, Matale, Polonnaruwa and Badulla districts; up to 30 mm in Jaffna, Mullaitivu, Kandy, Nuwara Eliya and Ratnpura districts; and up to 20 mm in Kilinochchi, Trincomalee, Kegalle, Kalutara. Gampaha, Matara, Hambantota and Monaragala districts.
18th   October	Up to 50 mm in Gampaha and Kegalle districts; up to 30 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Colombo, Kalutara and Ratnapura districts; and up to 20 mm in Matale, Kandy, Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts.
19th October	Up to 60 mm in Colombo and Galle districts; up to 50 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Anuradhapura, Ratnapura, Kalutara and Matara districts; up to 30 mm in Matale, Kegalle, Monaragala and Hambantota districts; and up to 20 mm Vavuniya, Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Polonnaruwa, Ampara, Kandy, Nuwara Eliya, Badulla and Ampara districts.
20th October	Up to 60 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala and Gampaha districts; up to 50 mm in Jaffna, Anuradhapura, Matale, Kegalle, Colombo and Ratnpura districts; up to 30 mm in Kilinochchi, Mullaitivu, Vavuniya, Mannar, Batticaloa, Kandy, Nuwara Eliya, Galle and Matara districts; and up to 20 mm Trincomalee, Polonnaruwa, Ampara, Badulla, Monaragala and Hambantota districts.
21st October	Up to 120 mm in Batticaloa and Ampara districts; up to 70 mm in Monaragala, Galle and Ratnapura districts; up to 60 mm in Mannar, Kalutara and Polonnaruwa districts; up to 50 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Gampaha, Kegalle, Kandy, Nuwara Eliya, Badulla and Matara districts; up to 30 mm in Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Mullaitivu, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Trincomalee, Matale and Hambantota districts; and up to 20 mm in rest of the island.
22nd October	Up to 140 mm in Kilinochchi district; up to 120 mm in Mannar district; up to 60 mm in Mullaitivu district; up to 50 mm in Jaffna, Vavuniya and Ratnapura districts; up to 30 mm in Puttalam and Anuradhapura districts; and up to 20 mm in Trincomalee, Kurunegala, Nuwara Eliya, Galle and Matara districts.

Total Rainfall for the Past Week: The RFE 2.0 tool shows total up to 150-200 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Anuradhapura, Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara. Kegalle and Ratnapura districts; up to 100-150 mm in Galle, Matara, Nuwara Eliya, Kandy, Polonnaruwa, Ampara, Badulla and Monaragala districts; and up to 50-75 mm in rest of the island. Above-average rainfall up to 100-200 mm is shown for Ampara district; up to 50-100 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Anuradhapura. Matale, Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Monaragala, Badulla and Batticaloa districts; and up to 25-50 mm in most parts of the island.

Monthly Monitoring: During September – Above average rainfall conditions up to 450 mm were experienced by Gampaha district; up to 360 mm in Puttalam, Colombo, Kalutara, Galle, Matara, Hambantota, Monaragala and Ratnapura districts; up to 240 mm in Kurunegala, Kegalle, Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Trincomalee, Polonnaruwa, Batticaloa, Badulla, Ampara, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya districts; and up to 120 mm in rest of the island. The CPC Unified Precipitation Analysis tool shows up to 750 mm of total rainfall in Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara, and Galle districts; up to 500 mm in Kurunegala, Puttalam, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Matara, Hambantota and Monaragala districts; up to 300 mm in Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts; and up to 200 mm in Kandy, Matale, Ampara and Batticaloa districts.

Predictions

Rainfall

14-day prediction: 

NOAA NCEP models: 
From 23^rd – 29^th Oct: Total rainfall more than 135 mm in Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Mullaitivu, Mannar, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Polonnaruwa, Batticaloa. Puttalam and Kurunegala districts; up to 115-125 mm in Gampaha, Colombo, Matale, Kegalle, and Ratnapura districts; and up to 95-105 mm in Ampara, Kandy, Galle and Matara districts.
From 30^th Oct – 5^th Nov: Total rainfall more than 135 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Gampaha, Colombo, Mannar, Kilinochchi and Jaffna districts; up to 125-135 mm Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Matale, Kandy, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Galle and Matara districts; and up to 105-115 mm in Trincomalee and Polonnaruwa districts.

IMD NCMWRF Forecast:

IRI Model Forecast: 
From 23^rd – 28^th Oct: Total rainfall up to 200 mm is expected in Jaffna district; up to 150 mm in Kilinochchi, Mannar, Mullaitivu, Vavuniya, and Trincomalee districts; up to 100 mm in Puttalam, Anuradhapura, Batticaloa. Ampara, Monaragala and Hambantota districts; and up to 75 mm in rest of the island.

MJO based OLR predictions:

For the next 15 days: 

MJO shall enhance the rainfall in Sri Lanka in the next 10 days and shall suppress in the following 5 days.

Ocean State (Text Courtesy IRI)

Pacific sea state: October 18, 2019
SSTs in the east-central Pacific maintained ENSO-neutral levels during September and early October, despite some warming in October. Patterns in some atmospheric variables show weak El Niño conditions, but this is attributed to intraseasonal variability and the collective assessment is for ENSO-neutral conditions. Model forecasts generally favor ENSO-neutral through autumn, winter, and spring, with slightly higher chances for El Niño than La Niña. The official CPC/IRI outlook is consistent with these model forecasts. 

Indian Ocean State
0.5 ⁰C above-average sea surface the temperature was observed in the seas around Sri Lanka.

Climate Bulletin for Sri Lanka ( 17 October 2019)

                                                      Highlights                                

·  The NOAA weekly rainfall forecast predicts up to 100 mm of total rainfall in central regions during 16 – 21 Oct.

· Between 9 – 14 Oct: up to 140 mm of daily rainfalls were recorded in Ratnapura and Kurunegala districts on the 11th and 13th respectively.

·  From 8 – 14 Oct: up to 5 km/h, easterly winds were experienced by the entire island

·  0.5 0C above-average sea surface temperature was observed in the seas around Sri Lanka.

Download full report ↓

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Monitoring

Rainfall

Weekly Monitoring:

Date	Rainfall
9th October	Up to 70 mm in Mannar and Vavuniya districts; up to 60 mm in Mullaitivu and Kurunegala districts; up to 50 mm in Anuradhapura, Matale and Badulla districts; up to 30 mm in Trincomalee, Kandy, and Monaragala districts; and up to 20 mm in Kilinochchi, Puttalam, Kegalle, Nuwara Eliya, Ratnapura and Ampara districts.
10th October	Up to 30 mm in Polonnaruwa district; and up to 20 mm in Anuradhapura and Matale districts.
11th October	Up to 140 mm in Ratnapura district; up to 60 mm in Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts; up to 50 mm in Kilinochchi, Kegalle, Colombo, Kalutara and Monaragala districts; up to 30 mm in Jaffna, Mullaitivu, Mannar, Puttalam, Gampaha and Galle districts; and up to 20 mm in Anuradhapura, Kurunegala and Matara districts.
12th October	Up to 50 mm in Badulla district; up to 30 mm in Nuwara Eliya, Ratnapura and Monaragala districts; and up to 20 mm in Anuradhapura, Trincomalee, Kegalle, Gampaha, Colombo and Kalutara districts.
13th October	Up to 140 mm in Kurunegala district; up to 70 mm in Kandy district; up to 60 mm in Puttalam district; up to 50 mm in Anuradhapura, Matale, Monaragala, Badulla, Ratnapura, Kegalle, Gampaha, Colombo and Kalutara districts; up to 30 mm in Trincomalee, district;  and up to 20 mm Mannar, Polonnaruwa, Ampara, Galle, Matara and Hambantota districts.
14th October	Up to 30 mm in Ratnapura, Matara and Hambantota districts; and up to 20 mm in Kalutara, Galle, Monaragala and Ampara districts.

Total Rainfall for the Past Week: The RFE 2.0 tool shows total up to 100-150 mm in Kurunegala, Anuradhapura, Nuwara Eliya, Ratnapura, Badulla and Monaragala districts; up to 75-100 mm in Vavuniya, Puttalam, Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara, Galle, Kegalle and Kandy districts; up to 50-75 mm in Kilinochchi, Matale, Matara, and Hambantota districts; and 25-50 mm in most parts of the island. Above-average rainfall up to 50-100 mm is shown for Kurunegala, Vavuniya, Colombo, Ratnapura, Nuwara Eliya, Badulla, Monaragala and western regions of Anuradhapura district; up to 25-50 mm in Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara and Kandy districts; and up to 10-25 mm in Kilinochchi and Mannar districts. Below-average rainfall up to 50-100 mm is shown for Polonnaruwa district; and up to 25-50 mm in Trincomalee, Batticaloa, Ampara and eastern regions of Anuradhapura district

Monthly Monitoring: During September – Above average rainfall conditions up to 450 mm were experienced by Gampaha district; up to 360 mm in Puttalam, Colombo, Kalutara, Galle, Matara, Hambantota, Monaragala and Ratnapura districts; up to 240 mm in Kurunegala, Kegalle, Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Trincomalee, Polonnaruwa, Batticaloa, Badulla, Ampara, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya districts; and up to 120 mm in rest of the island. The CPC Unified Precipitation Analysis tool shows up to 750 mm of total rainfall in Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara, and Galle districts; up to 500 mm in Kurunegala, Puttalam, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Matara, Hambantota and Monaragala districts; up to 300 mm in Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts; and up to 200 mm in Kandy, Matale, Ampara and Batticaloa districts.

Predictions

Rainfall

14-day prediction: 

NOAA NCEP models: 

• From 16^th – 22^nd Oct: Total rainfall more than 135 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Gampaha, Colombo, Kegalle, and Ratnapura districts; up to 115-25 mm in Galle and Matara districts; up to 95-105 mm in Mannar, Anuradhapura, Matale, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya districts; and up to 85-95 mm in most parts of the island.
• From 23^rd – 29^th Oct: Total rainfall more than 135 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Gampaha and Ratnapura districts; up to 115-125 mm in Jaffna, Mannar, Galle, and Matara districts; up to 105-115 mm in Kilinochchi, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Matale, Kandy and Hambantota districts; and up to 85-95 mm most parts of the island.

IMD NCMWRF Forecast:

16^th   of  Oct: Not Available

17^th  of  Oct: Not Available 

IRI Model Forecast: 

From 16^th – 21^st Oct: Total rainfall up to 150 mm is expected in Polonnaruwa, Matale, Kandy, Nuwara Eliya, Badulla, Monaragala and Ampara districts; up to 100 mm in Trincomalee, Anuradhapura, Kuruegala, Kegalle, Gampaha, Colombo, Ratnapura and Batticaloa districts; and up to 75 mm in rest of the island.

MJO based OLR predictions:

For the next 15 days: 

MJO shall enhance the rainfall in Sri Lanka.

Ocean State (Text Courtesy IRI)

Pacific sea state: October 10, 2019

SSTs in the east-central Pacific maintained ENSO-neutral levels during September and early October, despite some warming in October. Patterns in most of the key atmospheric variables are also showing ENSO-neutral conditions. Model forecasts generally favor ENSO-neutral through autumn, winter and into spring, with slightly higher chances for El Niño than La Niña. The official CPC/IRI outlook is consistent with these model forecasts.

Climate Bulletin for Sri Lanka ( 10 October 2019)

                                                      Highlights                                

·  The IRI weekly rainfall forecast predicts up to 200 mm of total rainfall in Badulla district during 9 – 14 Oct.

·  Between 1 - 8 Oct: up to 120 mm of rainfalls were recorded in Anuradhapura district on the 6^th.

·  From 1 – 7 Oct: up to 10 km/h, southeasterly winds were experienced by the entire island.

·  0.5 ⁰C above-average sea surface temperature was observed in the seas around Sri Lanka.

Download full report ↓

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Monitoring

Rainfall

Weekly Monitoring: On October 1^st Puttalam, Anuradhapura and Kurunegala districts received up to 20 mm of rainfall; Colombo, Kalutara, Ratnapura, Badulla, and Monaragala districts up to 10 mm.  On the 2^nd, Kalutara district received up to 20 mm of rainfall; and Ratnapura, Galle, and Batticaloa districts up to 10 mm. On the 3^rd, Kegalle and Colombo districts received up to 50 mm of rainfall; Anuradhapura, Kurunegala, Gampaha, Kalutara, Ratnapura, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya districts up to 30 mm; and Mannar, Puttalam, Galle, Matara, Badulla, Monaragala, and Matale districts up to 10 mm. On the 4^th, Matale, Kandy, Ratnapura, Colombo and Monaragala districts received up to 50 mm; Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Kegalle, Nuwara Eliya, Kalutara, Matara and Hambantota districts up to 30 mm; and Mannar, Polonnaruwa, Gampaha and Galle districts up to 20 mm. On the 5^th Kurunegala district received up to 70 mm; Kegalle and Badulla districts up to 50 mm; Ratnapura, Kandy, Monaragala and Nuwara Eliya districts up to 30 mm; and Matale, Puttalam, Gampaha, Colombo, and Kalutara districts up to 20 mm. On the 6^th, Anuradhapura district received up to 120 mm of rainfall; Mullaitivu, Vavuniya, Mannar and Kurunegala districts up to 70 mm;  Puttalam, Ratnapura, Nuwara Eliya, Badulla, Polonnaruwa, and Ampara districts up to 50 mm; Kilinochchi, Trincomalee, Matale, Kandy, Kegalle, Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara and Monaragala districts up to 30 mm; and the rest of the island up to 20 mm. On the 7^th, Matale, and Polonnaruwa districts received up to 70 mm of rainfall; Ratnapura, Matara, and Galle districts up to 60 mm;  Gampaha, Kegalle, Nuwara Eliya, Colombo, Kalutara, Monaragala, Ampara and Hambantota districts up to 50 mm; Puttalam, Kurunegala, Kandy and Badulla districts up to 30 mm; and Anuradhapura and Batticaloa districts up to 20 mm. On the 8^th, Mullaitivu and Vavuniya districts received up to 50 mm of rainfall; Mannar and Anuradhapura districts up to 30 mm; and Trincomalee, Kurunegala, Kandy, and Nuwara Eliya districts up to 20 mm.

Total Rainfall for the Past Week: The RFE 2.0 tool shows total up to 100-150 mm in Anuradhapura, Kurunegala, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Colombo, Kalutara, Polonnaruwa and Matale districts; up to 75-100 Puttalam, Vavuniya, Galle, Matara, Nuwara Eliya, Kandy and Badulla districts; and up to 50-75 mm Mannar, Monaragala and Hambantota districts. Above-average rainfall up to 100-200 mm is shown for in Anuradhapura, Matale and Ratnapura districts; up to 50-100 mm Mullaitivu, Vavuniya, Puttalam, Kurunegala, Kegalle, Colombo, Kalutara, Matara, Badulla, Nuwara Eliya and Kandy districts; and up to 25-50 mm in most parts of the island.

Monthly Monitoring: During August –Above average rainfall conditions up to 450 mm were experienced by Gampaha district; up to 360 mm in Puttalam, Colombo, Kalutara, Galle, Matara, Hambantota, Monaragala and Ratnapura districts; up to 240 mm in Kurunegala, Kegalle, Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Trincomalee, Polonnaruwa, Batticaloa, Badulla, Ampara, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya districts; and up to 120 mm in the rest of the island. The CPC Unified Precipitation Analysis tool shows up to 750 mm of total rainfall in Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara and Galle districts; up to 500 mm in Kurunegala, Puttalam, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Matara, Hambantota and Monaragala districts; up to 300 mm in Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts; and up to 200 mm in Kandy, Matale, Ampara and Batticaloa districts.

Predictions

Rainfall

14-day prediction: 

NOAA NCEP models: 

From 9^th – 15^th Oct: Total rainfall up to 125 mm in Gampaha district; up to 105-115 mm in Colombo, Kalutara, Ratnapura, and Galle districts; and up to 85-95 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Kegalle and Matara districts.

From 16^th – 22^nd Oct: Total rainfall more than 135 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Gampaha, Colombo, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Galle and Matara districts; up to 105-115 mm Hambantota district; and up to 85-95 mm in Mannar, Matale, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya districts.

IMD NCMWRF Forecast:

9^th    of  Oct: Not Available

10^th  of  Oct: Not Available 

IRI Model Forecast: 

From 9^th – 14^th Sep: Total rainfall up to 200 mm is expected in Badulla district; up to 150 mm in Polonnaruwa, Ampara, Monaragala, Ratnapura, Nuwara Eliya, Kandy and Matale districts; and up to 100 mm in Trincomalee, Anuradhapura, Batticaloa, Kegalle and Kurunegala districts.

MJO based OLR predictions:

For the next 15 days: 

MJO shall not have an impact on the rainfall of Sri Lanka in the next 5 days and shall enhance in the following 10 days. 

Ocean State (Text Courtesy IRI)

Pacific sea state: October 10, 2019

SSTs in the east-central Pacific maintained ENSO-neutral levels during September and early October, despite some warming in October. Patterns in most of the key atmospheric variables are also showing ENSO-neutral conditions. Model forecasts generally favor ENSO-neutral through autumn, winter and into spring, with slightly higher chances for El Niño than La Niña. The official CPC/IRI outlook is consistent with these model forecasts.

Climate Bulletin for Sri Lanka ( 3 October 2019)

                                                      Highlights                                

·  The IRI weekly rainfall forecast predicts up to 150 mm of total rainfall in Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts during 25 – 30 Sep.

·  Between 25 - 30 Sep: up to 70 mm of rainfalls were recorded in Puttalam district on the 29^th.

·  From 24 – 30 Sep: up to 18 km/h, southwesterly winds were experienced by the entire island.

· 0.5 ⁰C above-average sea surface temperature was observed in the seas around Sri Lanka.

 

Download full report ↓

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Monitoring

Rainfall

Weekly Monitoring: On September 25^th, Batticaloa, Ampara and Monaragala districts received up to 60 mm of rainfall; Badulla, Nuwara Eliya and Polonnaruwa districts up to 50 mm; Matale, Kandy, Ratnapura, Galle and Matara districts up to 30 mm; and Trincomalee, Kurunegala, Kegalle, Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara, and Hambantota districts up to 20 mm.  On the 26^th, Badulla, Monaragala and Hambantota districts received up to 50 mm of rainfall; Ratnapura and Nuwara Eliya districts up to 20 mm. On the 27^th, Anuradhapura the district received up to 30 mm of rainfall; Kurunegala and Batticaloa districts up to 20 mm; and most parts of the country up to 10 mm. On the 28^th, Kalutara, Colombo, Monaragala and Hambantota districts received up to 50 mm; Puttalam, Kurunegala, Kalutara, Galle, Ratnapura, Badulla and Ampara districts up to 30 mm; and Matale, Kegalle, Nuwara Eliya and Matara districts up to 20 mm. On the 29^th Puttalam district received up to 70 mm; Kurunegala, Anuradhapura districts up to 50 mm; Polonnaruwa and Matale districts up to 30 mm; and Mannar, Vavuniya, and Gampaha district up to 20 mm. On the 30^th, Polonnaruwa district received up to 30 mm of rainfall; and Anuradhapura, Matale and Badulla districts up to 20 mm. 

Total Rainfall for the Past Week: The RFE 2.0 tool shows total up to 75-100 mm in Puttalam Kurunegala, Badulla and Hambantota districts; up to 50-75 mm Anuradhapura, Gampaha, Colombo, Ratnapura, Gampaha, Colombo, Kandy, Matale and Monaragala districts; and up to 25-50 mm in Kegalle, Kalutara, Matara, Ampara and Batticaloa districts. Above-average rainfall up to 50-100 mm is shown for in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Badulla, Monaragala and Hambantota districts; and up to 25-50 mm Anuradhapura, Polonnaruwa, Nuwara Eliya, and Ratnapura districts. Below-average rainfall up to 10-25 mm is shown for in Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Mannar, Vavuniya, Mullaitivu and Kegalle districts.

Monthly Monitoring: During August –Above average rainfall conditions up to 450 mm were experienced by Gampaha district; up to 360 mm in Puttalam, Colombo, Kalutara, Galle, Matara, Hambantota, Monaragala and Ratnapura districts; up to 240 mm in Kurunegala, Kegalle, Jaffna, Kilinochchi, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Trincomalee, Polonnaruwa, Batticaloa, Badulla, Ampara, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya districts; and up to 120 mm in rest of the island. The CPC Unified Precipitation Analysis tool shows up to 750 mm of total rainfall in Gampaha, Colombo, Kalutara and Galle districts; up to 500 mm in Kurunegala, Puttalam, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Matara, Hambantota and Monaragala districts; up to 300 mm in Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts; and up to 200 mm in Kandy, Matale, Ampara and Batticaloa districts.

Predictions

Rainfall

14-day prediction: 

NOAA NCEP models: 

From 2^nd – 8^th Oct: Total rainfall more than 125 mm in Gampaha, Colombo, Ratnapura, Galle, and Matara districts; up to 95-105 mm in Hambantota district; and up to 85-95 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala and Badulla districts.

From 9^th – 15^th Oct: Total rainfall more than 135 mm in Puttalam, Kurunegala, Gampaha, Colombo, Kegalle, Ratnapura, Galle and Matara districts; up to 95-105 mm Nuwara Eliya district; and up to 85-95 mm in Mannar, Kandy, Badulla, Monaragala and Hambantota districts.

IMD NCMWRF Forecast:

 2^nd of Oct: Not Available

 3^td of  Sep: Not Available 

IRI Model Forecast: 

From 2^nd – 7^th Sep: Total rainfall up to 150 mm is expected in Matale, Kandy, Ampara, Monaragala, Nuwara Eliya and Badulla districts; up to 100 mm in Polonnaruwa, Batticaloa, Kegalle, and Ratnapura districts; and up to 75 mm in Trincomalee, Anuradhapura, Kurunegala and Hambantota districts.

MJO based OLR predictions:

For the next 15 days: 

MJO shall enhance the rainfall of Sri Lanka. 

Ocean State (Text Courtesy IRI)

Pacific sea state: September 19, 2019

SSTs in the east-central Pacific maintained ENSO-neutral levels during September. Patterns in the key atmospheric variables are also showing ENSO-neutral conditions. Model forecasts generally favor ENSO-neutral through autumn, winter and into spring, with slightly higher chances for El Niño than La Niña. The official CPC/IRI outlook is consistent with these model forecasts.

Indian Ocean State

0.5 ⁰C above-average sea surface temperature was observed in the seas around Sri Lanka.