Phone:(+94)81-2376746,4922992   E-mail:climate@sltnet.lk     Website: http://www.climate.lk

Thursday, May 2, 2013

Weekly Hydro-meteorological Report, 2 May, 2013


Highlights

Monitoring and Prediction
South-western regions of Sri Lanka shall receive rainfall in the coming week (2nd-6th May, 2013) and on 3rd & 4th May, South-western coastal regions shall receive heavy rainfall compared to other regions of Sri Lanka. Western regions shall receive peak rainfall around 5th & 6th May. During May 2013 to July 2013, there is a 45-50% probability for temperature to be above normal in the country while the rainfall is to be climatological.

Download Full Report




Summary

Monitoring


Weekly Monitoring:Rainfall ranged between 5-70 mm during 23rd-30th April 2013. Maximum rainfall was observed on the 24th April in Ratnapura district. During this period, more or less the entire country experienced rainfall.

Predictions

7-day prediction:Southern 2/3rd of the Island shall receive 5-95 mm of rainfall and 55-95 mm of rainfall shall concentrate towards South-western regions of the Island during 29th April-5th May 2013.

IMD WRF Model Forecast & IRI forecast:For 3rd of May 2013, IMD WRF model predicts 36-65 mm of rainfall in South-western coastal regions of Sri Lanka and 1-36 mm of rainfall is predicted for the rest of the island, except for minute regions at Kurunegala and Hambantota (Less than 1mm/day). Then for the 4th of May, IMD WRF model predicts 36-65 mm of rainfall in South-western coastal regions of Sri Lanka and rainfall shall concentrate towards the South-western regions of Sri Lanka. NOAA model predicts 25-75 mm of rainfall for the Southern 2/3rd of the island 1st-6th May.

1 Month Prediction:OverallFor 3rd of May 2013, IMD WRF model predicts 36-65 mm of rainfall in South-western coastal regions of Sri Lanka and 1-36 mm of rainfall is predicted for the rest of the island, except for minute regions at Kurunegala and Hambantota (Less than 1mm/day). Then for the 4th of May, IMD WRF model predicts 36-65 mm of rainfall in South-western coastal regions of Sri Lanka and rainfall shall concentrate towards the South-western regions of Sri Lanka. NOAA model predicts 25-75 mm of rainfall for the Southern 2/3rd of the island 1st-6th May.

Seasonal Prediction:As per IRI Multi Model Probability Forecast issued on April 2013; for May 2013 to July 2013, there is a 45-50% probability for temperature to be above normal in the country while the rainfall is to be climatological.

PACIFIC SEAS STATE April 18, 2013 :During February through March the observed ENSO conditions remained in the neutral ENSO conditions. Most of the ENSO prediction models call for neutral ENSO conditions through northern summer 2013, but some statistical models call for weak La-Nina while some dynamical models call for warming & possible weak El-Nino.

INDIAN OCEAN STATE :The Indian Ocean around Sri Lanka particular to the Bay of Bengal continues to have a warm anomaly up to 0.5˚C. Warm SST conditions are spreading towards seas north of Sri Lanka.

61 comments:

  1. Shiva Excursion Pvt. Ltd. is Dynamically Design by choice of Customer Activities in Nepal.

    Local Base License holder Trekking Company &

    15 Years Experiences Trekking tour Seller with more Adventure Activities Operated Trekking agency in Nepal.
    The top ten High Light full Board Package Activities As Annapurna Base

    Camp Trek
    , Ghorepani Poon Hill Trek, Annapurna round

    trek
    , Nar Phu Valley Trek, Upper Mustang trek, Manaslu circuit

    trek
    , Manaslu tsum valley trek, Ganesh himal Trek, Ruby Valley trek,

    Langtang valley

    trek
    , Langtang tamang Heritage trail, goshainkunda Lake

    pass
    , Helambu

    circuit trek
    , Everest base Camp Trek most challenging high passes as Everest Chola & Renjola

    Pass, Everest Three high pass, Ganjala Pass trek. Other Wilderness less touristic area as

    Kanchenjunga Trek, Makalu Base Camp trek & most high Light Adventure Peak

    Climbing in Nepal as Island Peak Climbing, Mera Peak Climbing & Loboje Peak Climbing.
    The rare with wildlife activities tour in Nepal, Kathmandu to Chitwan jungle seafaring &

    more touring programs Manage by Shiva Excursion Pvt. Ltd.
    Best Regard by
    trekking in nepal

    ReplyDelete
  2. Nepal High Trek Pvt. Ltd has been operating tours & trekking throughout Nepal for over a decade. We are one of the most highly respected of the government registered tour companies. In general your trek will start in Thamel, Kathmandu. We have a selection of wide ranging trips from cultural and historic tours, to journeys into World Heritage areas and magnificent high altitude challenges across the Himalayas. There is no doubt that whichever option suits you, it will be the journey of a lifetime, and a beautiful, long-lasting memory of this amazing country, Nepal and its friendly, gracious people. With our experience and knowledge of the region, journeys to Everest Base Camp (EBC), Everest Three Passes trek,Annapurna Base Camp (ABC) are all within your grasp. We come highly recommended, and your trip can be tailor-made to your personal needs while we ensure that you have a safe and fun-filled experience. We cover all the popular and more challenging and remote adventure treks like: Annapurna Base Camp Trek, Annapurna Circuit Trek, Annapurna Trek,Annapurna Ghorepani Trek, Ghorepani Poon Hill Trek, Annapurna Sanchuary Trek, Annapuran Khopra Trek,Everest Base Camp Trek, Everest Three pass Trek, Everest Base Camp with Cholapass Trek, Everst Panoroma Trek, Manaslu Circuit Trek, Manaslu Tsum Valley Trek, Upper Mustang Trek, Mustang Trek, Langtang Valley Trek, Langatang Trek. Our team has invaluable experience on guiding you through the most arduous terrain and through the most remote regions like Tsum Valley Trek, Nar-Phu Valley Trek, Tamang Heritage Trail, Ghale Gaun Sikles Trek, Kanchanjanga Base Camp Trek Rolwaling Camping Trek, Upper Mustang Cultural Trek, Lower Dolpo and Upper Dolpo Trek
    Bring your dreams to reality with Nepal High Trek.Pvt.Ltd
    www.nepalhightrek.com

    ReplyDelete
  3. Definitely, Nepal is a dreamland for many adventure, highland trek and enormous legendry culture. Many hundred thousands of tourist are visiting in Nepal for Himalaya trekking, peak climbing,mountain expedition, sun rise/sunset views hiking trip, white water adventure, wild life safaris and many adventure sports. Although, we are A One Nepal Trek Company is local based pioneer trekking agency of Nepal. We have emotionally operating a best delightful mountain holiday in Nepal, Tibet and Bhutan for our valued clients as per them willing with reasonable cost/price. All managed by well-known professional team, our Trekking Guides/Porters, /Tours Guides are fully trained, rich experience of service field and license holder. Surely, we well have be ever attention for your pleasure holiday in Nepal, and long term relationship as a friend. we are regulary promote this items ghorepani poon hill trek, annapurna base camp trek, upper mustang trek, Manaslu circuit trek, Manaslu tsum valley trek, langtang valley trek, langtang tamang heritage trail, langtang goshaikunda lake trek, Helambu circuit trek, everest base camp trek, gokya lake trek, everest chola pass trek, jiri to Everest base camp trek, And other Adventure Peak Climbing in Nepal as Island peak climbing, Mera Peak climbing, Lobuche Peak climbing & Other packages tours in Nepal.
    Best regard by Trekking in Nepal

    ReplyDelete
  4. Trekking in Nepal…Family Adventure style
    The towering Himalayas are, to many travellers’ minds, the chief reason for visiting Nepal. The country tumbles steeply down from the 800km stretch of the Himalayan battlements that forms its northern border, and can claim no fewer than eight of the world’s ten highest peaks – including, of course, Everest, the highest of them all. The mountains are more than just physically astonishing, however. The cultures of highland-dwelling Nepalese peoples are rich and fascinating, and the relaxed, companionable spirit of trekking life is an attraction in itself. The Himalayas have long exerted a powerful spiritual pull, too. In Hindu mythology, the mountains are where gods go to contemplate, while the Sherpas and other mountain peoples hold certain peaks to be the very embodiment of deities.
    Most visitors to mountain areas stick to a few well-established trekking routes. They have good reasons for doing so: the classic trails of the Everest region with its famous trails like Everest Base camp trek and the 3 high passes are both mind blowing ventures and highly popular in the world. And Annapurna regions are so popular because they offer close-up views of the very highest peaks; this includes Annapurna 1 & 2, fishtail peak and Ganesh Himal trek. Famous treks like the Ghorepani Poon Hill Trek, Annapurna Base camp trek & the Annapurna Circuit trek are some of the most famous on earth. Dramatic scenery and fascinating local cultures are most known in this area. Lodges on the main trails – some as sophisticated as ski chalets, these days – make it possible to go without carrying a lot of gear or learning Nepali, and without spending too much money, either. While trekking, you’ll likely eat and sleep for $20–30 a day. For those who put a high priority on getting away from it all, there are plenty of less-developed routes, of course, and simply going out of season or taking a side-route off the main trail makes a huge difference.
    The Helambu and Langtang regions are less striking but conveniently close to Kathmandu, attracting a little fewer than ten percent of trekkers. The Langtang valley trek & the Ganja-La pass are known trails in this area. This leaves vast areas of eastern and far western Nepal relatively untrodden by visitors. To hike in these areas you’ll need either to get set for camping and carry your own supplies, and live like a local, or pay to join an organized trek with tents and accept the compromises that go along with that.
    With a good operator, you can anywhere in the wild. A Great Himalayan Trail now runs the length of highland Nepal – though it will be for some time, if ever, before such a route will be serviced by lodges.
    Treks in remote far eastern and far western Nepal are mostly restricted to two kinds of globe trotters, both adventurous in their own way. The majority come on organized camping treks with agencies – in fact, this is obligatory for those areas that require a permit. The minority are independent trekkers prepared either to carry tents and food or negotiate with porters, or to seek food and lodging in local homes and basic lodges. Some great camping outdoors include the Manaslu circuit Trek, Upper Mustang trek the Dhaulagiri circuit, Rara lake trek and the great Kangchenjunga trek, both north and south.

    ReplyDelete
  5. The high 5 Adventures is Expedition Company in Nepal. So Mr Narbin Magar has been selected for the All Trekking peaks and Expedition leading since 2005 to till Local Base Expedition Agency in Nepal. Most of the Challenging Trekking Agency which is popular peak Climbing, Trekking in Nepal and Expedition in Nepal, the High 5 Adventures Company all Staff are has been trained Mountaineering and enough Strong Local guide and Climbing Sherpa’s. Everest Expedition Company is one of the most challenging and high light Trekking routes in Nepal. Everest base camp, Langtang Trekking, manaslu trekking, Annapurna base camp, Annapurna Circuit, Dhaulagiri round and many others Trekking routes in Nepal. The part of the Peak climbing and Expedition is more attractive and Adventures Expedition in Nepal.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Why do most adventure enthusiasts love Trekking in Nepal?
    Trekking In Nepal…with Encounters Nepal Dot Com…

    These boots were made for walking…ONE OF DAYS THESE BOOTS will walk you into the Himalayas for the experience of a lifetime…

    Trekking in Nepal is a delightful feast of nature in its most natural origins in this small but amazing country of Nepal. Encounters Nepal takes you into some of the most spectacular wilderness of Nepal’s vast Himalayas, across some of the most rugged terrain where the beauty is raw, punishing and taxes your physical abilities to the limit…but the rewards are so immense, it leaves you with emotional memories that last not only for a lifetime, but passed down to the generations to come. Our adventures are boundless and not only fenced into Nepal but cuts across the borders into the mountains of Tibet, India and Bhutan as well, irrespective of the kind of trip you choose in Nepal. Your holidays in Nepal with us is more than just a brief visit to stay somewhere; it is a real connection with the local folks, the unique countryside, the distinctive ancient cultures, delectable Nepali cuisine, the sublime environment and the rare specie of flora and fauna are extraordinary in this part of the world…

    A typical trek-day starts around 6 a.m. with a cup of tea/coffee. After packing your duffel bag and daypack, breakfast is served piping hot amidst the sweet chirping of birds that are always happy with your presence. The day's trek starts around 7.30 a.m. Porters carry all your luggage and equipment. All you need to carry in your daypack are personal items like a water bottle, rain/wind jacket, camera and any other small items you may need on the trail.

    On beaten trails or virgin tracks, Nepal is a trekker's haven. The steady beat of foot travel is a great way to discover and make meaningful contact with the country. Trekking usually consists of a series of ascents and descents walking 5 to 7 hours (9 to 14 km per day on average with a guide, cook and porters and on some occasion’s pack animals.

    The objective of trekking in Nepal is not just a particular destination, but the odyssey and experiences itself. You travel at a pace that suits your body best, observing nature, rural communities, and spectacular mountain panoramas, some of which are the best on the planet. You also stop over to have a cosy chat with the local folks and learn about their lifestyles on these beautiful but tough mountains, of which some are the highest in the world.

    Trekking in Nepal with Encounters Nepal is an experience that leads you into areas most other trek companies would overlook; we go the mile in order to show you some of the most stunning sights beheld on these astonishing mountains that gives you a sense of gratification, the true feelings of adventure in an untamed wilderness that teaches you about life in ways that are more practical than you would experience in the concrete jungles of mega cities.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Nepal Annapurna Base Camp Trek is among the most popular walking tour in the Himalayan world.
    The ranges of Annapurna base camp trek is one of the most popular walking tour in the Himalayan world. Trail literally brings you face to face with an eight thousand highest Peak– for a moderate-difficult trek; this is one of best incredible! The fascinating Annapurna ranges massif includes the world’s tenth highest peak in Himalaya. Annapurna (8,091 m) I hold a fatal attraction for mountaineers of world. This mountain has the highest fatality ratio among the eight thou sanders peak. This formidable mountain aura apart, its base camp (ABC) trek holds several treasures for the mountain lover world.
    Annapurna Mountain views that leave you spellbound
    The Annapurna mountain range whets your appetite for mountain views front-right from Pokhara City. This is first even before you start the trek. At Ghandruk village, you see distinct views of Machapuchare(6993m) Annapurna South (7219m) and Hiunchuli (6441m). Views of different peaks of the world Annapurna massif and Machapuchare stay with you all the way till Sinuwa Hill. The tip of Holy Machapuchare teases you at Dovan (2600m). As you burst out of the bamboo forest past Himalaya and Deurali pass, Machapuchare appears again in its full glory. Machapuchare, the ‘fish tailed mountain’, in Nepalese is revered by the Nepalese people for its exquisite beauty. Legendry believed to be one of the homes of Hindi Lord (Shiva). This holy mountian has never been officially summitted! As you touch down the Machapuchare base camp, in addition to Machapuchare, you can see massif Annapurna I, Annapurna South, Gangapurna and Hiunchuli Peak up close. The Annapurna Base Camp is a small cluster of six-seven lodges opposite the ridge of Annapurna glacier. As you look around up from the edge of the glacier, you come face to face with the Annapurna massif ranges. Annapurna South, I, III and Gangapurna, with Gandharvachuli and Machapuchare are all there to meet your unleash gaze when your eyes rest upon them. Trekking into the forests of the Annapurna Conservation Area The trail takes you through a variety of vegetation while trekking from Ghandruk village to Chhomrong you are surrounded by Nepal's national flower (rhododendron), fern and wild bamboo. Once you cross Sinuwa Hill to enter the narrow valley of Annapurna sanctuary, the forest becomes densely. Tallest oak trees become prominent here. As you move further up towards Deurali pass, the thick forests give way to tall grasses. Around this area, you will find trees of thick bark called Daphne. This is used by local people to make paper. These trees are commonly found around estern part of nepal and india border as well. Closer to Machapuchare base camp (3700m), the terrain turns into Alpine. You see the patches of grass amidst boulders. There are also flowering plants lining the trail at this section too.
    The Annapurna base camp trail has 3 sections through forest that is so dense that sometime sunlight barely seeps through. The first one starts right after the villages around Chomrung and extends till New Bridge. On the trail from Sinuwa, you will hear the Modi River roaring past right next to you. But the trees around are so densely that you can’t really see the river flow. The third stretch is after Sinuwa and goes all the way to Dovan via Bamboo. The beauty of this trek is that you walk through these forests twice.
    The Annapurna Base Camp Trek and region is nestled in the 7,629 sq km Annapurna Conservation Area and home to 1,228 species of flowering plants, more than 100 mammals, 474 birds, 33 reptiles with 22 amphibians. If you’re lucky you might spot an exotic bird or even called marmot.

    ReplyDelete
  8. The Shiva excursion Pvt Ltd is local base Trekking Agency in Nepal as Under Nepal government license holder tourism board. Over 15 years Experience Nepal Trekking, Tour and Peak Climbing leading by tour leader Arjun Nepal. Over 70% Past client repeat and fully satisfied with our services in Nepal. The list of Best trekking company in Nepal as refer by many client those who take’s ours services and high quality hospitalities in Nepal.
    Most of Trekking Companies are same as services but selected which is best and more Nepal Trekking Company Reviews and make happy valuable customer trekking in Nepal. Therefore search right Nepal Trekking Agency. Because many Trekking Agencies are not best quality and just make money never looking furthers services with any kind of activities in Nepal. The Shiva Excursion is high recommend Everest Base Camp, Annapurna Base Camp, Upper Mustang, Manaslu Circuit and Many Others Trekking routes in Nepal.
    So coming this year 2017 heading to some others Trekking Peak as Island Peak Climbing, Mera Peak Climbing, Lobuche Peak Climbing, Chulu West and Chulu East Peak Climbing in Nepal, Many type of Activities normal hiking, moderate trekking, high pass and hard adventures Peak Climbing in Nepal. Nepal is beautiful little high mountain and latest trekking trail and Others Package Tour, Kathmandu Valley, Nagarkot dhulikhel tour, Kathmandu to Chitwan, lumbini pokhara tour and Bandipur Tour in Nepal.
    Highly promoted and local top Trekking agency as Shiva Excursion is most popular trekking Company in Nepal. Mainly offers packages trip and adventures activities choice of the valuable client design by custom Itinerary and reasonable cost deal to Shiva Excursion with Excellent Client Reviews Nepal Trekking Companies.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Manaslu Circuit Trek & Tsum Valley Trekking, located within Mid North West Himalaya straddles the border with Nepal & Tibet / China on the ancient Trans Himalayan Salt and Caravan routes where trade still exist among the highlanders of Manaslu and Tsum valley people.
    Manaslu & Tsum Valley Trekking a perfect combination on off the beaten trails, where western trekkers and adventurer seldom visits or explore this hidden and scenic Tsum valley enclosed within massive Ganesh Himal known as Yangra in Tibetan and Kutang for Manaslu, where the ancient Sanskrit Manas name comes from as ‘spirit of the mountain or soul’ (like the holy Lake Manasarover near Kailash in Tibet).
    Mt. Manaslu stands at 8,163 m / 26,781 ft high, as world's 8th highest peak, which was first climbed by Japanese expedition in 1956 by T. Imamishi. K. Kato and M. Higeta with Nepalese Sherpa guide G. Norbu.
    Manaslu with range of stunning peaks Bouddha Himal, Himal-Chuli peak which follows the ridges of Ganesh Himal towards eastern direction where the hidden Tsum valley located in the midst of Manaslu and Ganesh Himal massive range of mountains, certainly a pure wilderness to explore this undisturbed region of North Mid Western Himalaya.
    Starting this wonderful adventure taking an overland drive towards hills and valley of Gorkha town or from Dhading district which leads you at Arughat, a warm low farm village at present stands as a big town on the shelf of raging Buri-Gandaki River fed feom Mt. Manaslu and Ganesh Himal glaciers.
    First heading towards hidden valley of Tsum following the river upstream for few days past nice hill villages of Soti-Khola-Philim-Jagat and Dyang to reach upper valley of Tsum at Mu Gompa which lies close towards the border of Tibet hidden behind massive Ganesh Himal, an interesting spot with dramatic scenery of mountains-hills and valley.
    At Tsum valley explore its ancient and interesting monasteries of Mu-Gompa and Chokhan Paro located above 3,700 m high in the shade of giant Himalayan peaks with hike to saint Milarepa holy meditation cave of 11th centaury at Nele includes a visit to Rachen Gompa.
    After an exciting and wonderful time on Tsum known as the valley of Happiness, heading towards further North West to join on the trail of Manaslu circuit trek, where the walk leads you on higher Manaslu valley situated upper Gorkha district and then route leads past Lo and Bhi-Gaon villages to reach a large Samagaon village, which is on route to Manaslu base camp and Larkya-La pass.
    At Samagaon explore the ancient culture of Manaslu Bhotia tribe of people who have migrated from across the border in Tibet, where the ancient culture of Buddhism religion still practiced with much trade between Tibet and the local villagers of Manaslu Circuit Trek.
    After rest day for local hike and acclimatization walks leads past Samdu village to reach at the base of Larkya-La pass known as Phedi or bottom, this spot also called as Dharmasala or Larkya Bazaar, where in early days huge trade and market used to take place.

    ReplyDelete