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Friday, December 30, 2011

Weekly Hydro-meteorological Report December 29, 2011

December 29,2011 Weekly Hydro-meteorological Report for Mahaweli Authority.
This is an experimental Climate Monitoring & Prediction Advisory made for expert user.
What is inside....
Monitoring
Weekly Monitoring:During first half of the previous week (22 nd -24 th December) high rainfalls, ranging between 5mm-140 mm were experienced....
Monthly Monitoring:During November above average rainfall was experienced particularly in the Northern half of the country, Eastern, South Eastern and in the District of Galle........
Prediction
7 Day Prediction:For the coming week, the NCEP Global Forecast System predicts low amount of accumulated rainfall ranging between 0mm-10mm over the island.......
IMD WRF Model Forecast & IRI forecast:
WRF model also predicts no rainfall conditions for the entire island particularly for the coming two days, the 30 th
& 31 st December. NOAA NCEP CFS model......
1 Month Prediction:Overall, a decreasing trend in rainfall with fluctuations shall be expected during the coming month. Western slopes- A Rapid decrease in rainfall shall be observed till the 2 nd of January......
Seasonal Prediction:As per IRI Multi Model Probability Forecast for January 2012 to March 2012, issued in December 2011, there is 50%-80% probability.......

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